Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
