SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.11% ( 0.13) | 24.82% ( 0.03) | 40.07% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( -0.11) | 45% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( -0.11) | 67.35% ( 0.11) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( 0.03) | 25.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.33% ( 0.03) | 59.67% ( -0.03) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( -0.13) | 22.38% ( 0.13) |
