SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
30.31% ( 0.04) | 24.22% ( 0) | 45.47% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% | 43.82% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( 0) | 66.21% ( 0) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 0.03) | 27.38% ( -0.02) |
