SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
31.31% ( 1.55) | 24.67% ( 0.21) | 44.03% ( -1.76) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( -0.23) | 45.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( -0.22) | 67.73% ( 0.22) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( 0.91) | 27.51% ( -0.91) |
