SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
39.05% ( -0.45) | 24.33% ( -0.22) | 36.62% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( 1.1) | 42.54% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( 1.09) | 64.94% ( -1.09) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( 0.26) | 21.81% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.97% ( 0.39) | 55.03% ( -0.39) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( 0.87) | 23.05% ( -0.86) |
