SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.91% ( -0.29) | 22.93% ( 0.14) | 41.16% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 65.39% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.3% ( -0.75) | 35.7% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.24% ( -0.83) | 57.76% ( 0.82) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( -0.48) | 20.32% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.3% ( -0.77) | 52.69% ( 0.76) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.25) | 17.93% ( 0.25) |
