SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Perth Glory in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Perth Glory.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
38.85% ( -0.39) | 23.66% ( -0.19) | 37.49% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.83% ( 0.96) | 39.17% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.5% ( 1) | 61.49% ( -0.99) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( 0.23) | 20.44% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.11% ( 0.36) | 52.89% ( -0.36) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.72) | 21.09% ( -0.71) |
