SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
43.99% ( -0.25) | 25.75% ( 0.08) | 30.26% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( -0.25) | 50.51% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( -0.22) | 72.44% ( 0.23) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.22) | 22.88% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.38% ( -0.33) | 56.63% ( 0.34) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( -0) | 30.78% ( 0.01) |
