Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
