SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
47.07% ( -1.4) | 22.36% ( -0.13) | 30.57% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 65.44% ( 1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.22% ( 1.56) | 34.78% ( -1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.26% ( 1.73) | 56.74% ( -1.73) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( 0.09) | 15.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.99% ( 0.17) | 44.01% ( -0.17) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 1.7) | 22.74% ( -1.7) |
