SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
56.31% ( -0.14) | 21.93% ( -0.02) | 21.76% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.3% ( 0.33) | 40.7% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( 0.34) | 63.09% ( -0.34) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.07) | 14.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.86% ( 0.13) | 42.14% ( -0.13) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( 0.35) | 32.33% ( -0.34) |
