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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Auckland FC has a probability of 23.29% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Auckland FC win is 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.8%).
| Result | ||
| Auckland FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
23.29% ( 0.37) | 23.01% ( 0.27) | 53.7% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( -0.81) | 43.85% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( -0.79) | 66.24% ( 0.79) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -0.12) | 32.71% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( -0.13) | 69.27% ( 0.13) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -0.51) | 16.28% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.16% ( -0.93) | 45.84% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auckland FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.7% |
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