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Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Feb 15, 2025 at 6am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
PG

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Perth Glory

Wong (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-0 Melbourne City
Friday, February 7 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast
Friday, February 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawPerth Glory
80.48% (-0.443 -0.44) 12.42% (0.364 0.36) 7.1% (0.072 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.67% (-1.381 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.69% (-1.761 -1.76)29.31% (1.754 1.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.64% (-2.174 -2.17)50.35% (2.168 2.17)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.41% (-0.423 -0.42)5.58% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.31% (-1.225 -1.22)21.68% (1.218 1.22)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-1.22 -1.22)46.33% (1.212 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02% (-0.955 -0.96)81.98% (0.949 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 80.47%
    Perth Glory 7.1%
    Draw 12.42%
Melbourne CityDrawPerth Glory
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.53 0.53)
3-0 @ 10.35% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.97% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 7.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.557 0.56)
4-1 @ 5.75% (-0.21 -0.21)
5-0 @ 4.31% (-0.125 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.32% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
6-0 @ 2.08% (-0.117 -0.12)
6-1 @ 1.6% (-0.149 -0.15)
5-2 @ 1.28% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 80.47%
1-1 @ 5.74% (0.245 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.255 0.26)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 12.42%
1-2 @ 2.21% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.99% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 7.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-0 Melbourne City
Friday, February 7 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 25 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 3-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 18 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Western Utd
Tuesday, January 7 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Wellington
Friday, January 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast
Friday, February 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-2 Victory
Saturday, February 1 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, January 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney
Tuesday, January 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland FC
Saturday, January 11 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-0 Perth Glory
Wednesday, January 8 at 8am in Australian A-League


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