SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 7.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
80.48% ( -0.44) | 12.42% ( 0.36) | 7.1% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.69% ( -1.76) | 29.31% ( 1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.64% ( -2.17) | 50.35% ( 2.17) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.41% ( -0.42) | 5.58% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.31% ( -1.22) | 21.68% ( 1.22) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.66% ( -1.22) | 46.33% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.02% ( -0.96) | 81.98% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.56)4-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.15)5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.57% Total : 80.47% | 1-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.91% Total : 12.42% | 1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.9% Total : 7.1% |
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