SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 0-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
20.24% ( -0.22) | 21.17% ( -0.12) | 58.59% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( 0.26) | 39.27% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( 0.28) | 61.6% ( -0.28) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( -0.05) | 32.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% ( -0.06) | 69.52% ( 0.06) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.86% ( 0.19) | 13.14% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% ( 0.38) | 39.82% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 20.24% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.59% Total : 58.59% |
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