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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
44.27% ( 0.14) | 23.71% ( -0.07) | 32.01% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.18% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.3) | 40.68% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.93% ( 0.31) | 63.07% ( -0.31) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( 0.18) | 18.67% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.99% ( 0.3) | 50% ( -0.3) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( 0.1) | 24.76% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( 0.15) | 59.33% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.01% |
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