Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
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