SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
33.13% ( -0) | 24.49% | 42.37% |
Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% | 43.95% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% ( 0) | 66.34% ( -0) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% | 25.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.42% ( -0) | 60.57% ( 0) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( 0) | 20.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.46% ( 0) | 53.53% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.13% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-1 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.74% Total : 42.37% |
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