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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
30.88% ( 0.65) | 24.5% ( 0.23) | 44.63% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.75) | 44.82% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -0.73) | 67.18% ( 0.74) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( 0.05) | 27.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( 0.06) | 63.01% ( -0.06) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( -0.69) | 20.2% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.49% ( -1.11) | 52.51% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.88% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.63% |
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