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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 0-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
24.94% ( -0.08) | 21.63% ( 0.09) | 53.43% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.2% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.33% ( -0.5) | 35.67% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.27% ( -0.56) | 57.73% ( 0.56) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( -0.33) | 26.92% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( -0.43) | 62.25% ( 0.43) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( -0.17) | 13.51% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.43% ( -0.35) | 40.56% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 53.43% |
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