SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
17.64% ( -0.23) | 19.01% ( 0.07) | 63.34% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.31% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.9% ( -0.76) | 33.09% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.17% ( -0.88) | 54.83% ( 0.87) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0.71) | 31.88% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% ( -0.82) | 68.33% ( 0.81) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90% ( -0.18) | 10% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.98% ( -0.41) | 33.02% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.19% Total : 17.65% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.01% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 3.74% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.34% |
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