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Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Jan 18, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
MC

Auckland FC
3 - 0
Melbourne City

May (33'), Pijnaker (40'), Mata (45+3')
Mata (12'), Randall (51'), Howieson (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland FC
Saturday, January 11 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FCDrawMelbourne City
24.5% (-0.203 -0.2) 22.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 53.23% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.39% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.86% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)39.14% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)61.47% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.184 -0.18)29.13% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.229 -0.23)65.06% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (0.063999999999993 0.06)14.78% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.119 0.12)43.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 24.5%
    Melbourne City 53.23%
    Draw 22.26%
Auckland FCDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.31% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 24.5%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.19% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.96% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.4% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland FC
Saturday, January 11 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 0-0 Victory
Wednesday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-4 Auckland FC
Saturday, December 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 0-4 Western Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, December 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Wellington
Saturday, December 7 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Western Utd
Tuesday, January 7 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Wellington
Friday, January 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Melbourne City
Tuesday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, December 15 at 6am in Australian A-League


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