Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
22.79% (![]() | 21.23% (![]() | 55.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.88% (![]() | 36.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.77% (![]() | 58.23% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% (![]() | 28.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.28% (![]() | 64.73% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.11% (![]() | 12.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.7% (![]() | 39.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 5.89% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.28% Total : 22.79% | 1-1 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 9.7% (![]() 0-2 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 4.04% Total : 55.99% |
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