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Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2025 at 6am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
MV

Newcastle Jets
3 - 0
Victory

Grozos (90+9' pen.), Taylor (90+14'), Rose (90+20')
Natta (21'), Bayliss (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Teague (44'), Traore (57'), Langerak (82')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 1 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-2 Victory
Saturday, February 1 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
22.79% (-0.563 -0.56) 21.23% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 55.99% (0.617 0.62)
Both teams to score 61.97% (-0.584 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (-0.43099999999999 -0.43)36.12% (0.434 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77% (-0.477 -0.48)58.23% (0.48 0.48)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.69999999999999 -0.7)28.86% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.881 -0.88)64.73% (0.885 0.88)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (0.042000000000002 0.04)12.89% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)39.3% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 22.79%
    Melbourne Victory 55.99%
    Draw 21.23%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 5.89% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 22.79%
1-1 @ 9.47% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.81% (0.19 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 6.63% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.33% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.39% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.73% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.12% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 55.99%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 1 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, January 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 17 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur
Sunday, January 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Tuesday, January 7 at 9am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 4 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-2 Victory
Saturday, February 1 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Sydney FC
Friday, January 24 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Victory
Saturday, January 18 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-4 Western Utd
Friday, January 10 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 4 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 0-0 Victory
Wednesday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League


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