Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-0 Pacos de Ferreira - Primeira Liga - April 1, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

With nine games to go before the end of the 2022-23 Primeira Liga campaign, Pacos de Ferreira have little time to salvage their season. While Vitoria de Guimaraes have run out of steam in recent weeks, they have been solid on home turf, where they have won three of their last four matches. With that said, we anticipate a close contest at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques, with the hosts claiming a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
51.92% ( 0.1)	26.24% ( 0.04)	21.84% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 44.91% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.95% (

-0.28)

58.05% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.27% (

-0.23)

78.73% (

0.22)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

-0.08)

22.48% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.97% (

-0.11)

56.03% (

0.11)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.94% (

-0.31)

42.06% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.51% (

-0.27)

78.49% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.92%

Pacos de Ferreira 21.84%

Draw 26.24%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.92%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.12% Total : 21.84%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	32	27	2	3	77	18	59	83
2	Porto	31	24	4	3	64	19	45	76
3	Braga	32	24	2	6	71	29	42	74
4	Sporting Lisbon	32	22	4	6	67	29	38	70
5	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	32	15	5	12	33	36	-3	50
6	Arouca Arouca	31	13	9	9	33	35	-2	48
7	Chaves Chaves	32	12	10	10	34	35	-1	46
8	Famalicao Famalicao	32	13	4	15	35	41	-6	43
9	Vizela	32	11	7	14	33	35	-2	40
10	Casa Pia	31	11	7	13	28	35	-7	40
11	Boavista Boavista	32	11	7	14	38	52	-14	40
12	Rio Ave Rio Ave	32	10	9	13	33	38	-5	39
13	Portimonense Portimonense	32	10	4	18	25	45	-20	34
14	Gil Vicente	32	9	7	16	31	40	-9	34
15	Estoril Praia Estoril	31	8	4	19	26	46	-20	28
16	Maritimo	32	6	5	21	30	60	-30	23
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	32	5	5	22	23	58	-35	20
18	Santa Clara Santa Clara	32	4	7	21	25	55	-30	19

Form, Standings, Stats