MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 21:10:49
SM
Saturday, April 1
Apr 15, 2022 at 8.30pm UK at Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes
4 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira
Silva (6' pen.), Duarte (45', 67'), Lameiras (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Antunes (33'), Carlos (38'), Butzke (46'), Ferreira (68')
Carlos (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-2 Pacos de Ferreira

Despite losing each of their last two home games, Vitoria de Guimaraes have been solid at home this season, picking up 23 points from 14 games. Pacos de Ferreira, meanwhile, head into the game in fine form, winning five of their last seven outings while keeping three clean sheets in that time. We anticipate an end-to-end contest with both sides settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPacos de Ferreira
46.45%25.5%28.04%
Both teams to score 52.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37%50.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46%72.54%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21%21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45%54.99%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53%32.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01%68.99%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.45%
    Pacos de Ferreira 28.05%
    Draw 25.49%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 46.45%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Sunday, April 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, April 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, March 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-0 Maritimo
Saturday, April 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, April 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Moreirense
Sunday, March 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, March 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-4 Porto
Sunday, March 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 0-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Friday, February 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica25222166145268
2Porto25184355173858
3Braga25182554223256
4Sporting Lisbon24162649232650
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2612592529-441
6AroucaArouca2510872932-338
7Casa Pia26115102327-438
8Vizela26105113028235
9Rio AveRio Ave2596102528-333
10FamalicaoFamalicao25103122532-733
11ChavesChaves258892631-532
12BoavistaBoavista2586112840-1230
13Gil Vicente2585122632-629
14PortimonensePortimonense2582151832-1426
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2674152239-1725
16Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira2645171943-2417
17Maritimo2544171747-3016
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara2536161738-2115
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