SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Rio Ave |
37.29% ( 0.25) | 26.99% ( 0.01) | 35.72% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( -0.04) | 54.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( -0.03) | 75.71% ( 0.03) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( 0.13) | 28.15% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.16% ( 0.16) | 63.84% ( -0.16) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( -0.17) | 29.09% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.98% ( -0.21) | 65.01% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
| 3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
