SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Rio Ave |
35.4% ( -1.11) | 27.58% ( 0.38) | 37.03% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 49.08% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.34% ( -1.52) | 56.66% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( -1.24) | 77.62% ( 1.24) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( -1.44) | 30.45% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.35% ( -1.74) | 66.66% ( 1.75) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( -0.3) | 29.44% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.56% ( -0.37) | 65.44% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
