SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.02% ( -1.38) | 21.39% ( -0.37) | 60.59% ( 1.75) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.5) | 43.67% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( -0.5) | 66.06% ( 0.5) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -1.8) | 37.85% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.37% ( -1.8) | 74.63% ( 1.8) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.38) | 13.96% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.55% ( 0.74) | 41.45% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.02% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 0.49)1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.11)1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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