Looking at past results between the sides, Sporting Lisbon head into this one as strong favourites to come away with the desired results having won 12 of their last 14 encounters. While Gil Vicente have lost just once away from home since last August, we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points and keep their title hopes alive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
