Looking at past results between the sides, Arouca head into the game as favourites to come away with all three points having gone unbeaten in their last nine meetings. However, given Gil Vicente's current form, we predict they will get one over the Arouquenses and take their unbeaten streak to 13 games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
