SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
30.73% ( 1.11) | 27.09% ( 0.82) | 42.17% ( -1.94) |
| Both teams to score 49.44% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( -2.77) | 55.69% ( 2.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( -2.31) | 76.84% ( 2.31) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% ( -0.63) | 33.11% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.29% ( -0.7) | 69.7% ( 0.7) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( -2.22) | 26.08% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.86% ( -3.08) | 61.14% ( 3.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.88)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
