SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morecambe.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
42.64% ( -0.05) | 26.16% ( 0.05) | 31.2% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.2) | 51.84% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( -0.17) | 73.6% ( 0.17) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.11) | 24.11% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.59% ( -0.16) | 58.41% ( 0.16) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( -0.09) | 30.8% ( 0.09) |
