SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Morecambe |
46.05% ( 0.11) | 25.8% ( -0.05) | 28.14% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( 0.14) | 51.79% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 0.12) | 73.55% ( -0.13) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( 0.11) | 22.46% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.99% ( 0.16) | 56% ( -0.17) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( 0.01) | 33% ( -0.02) |
