SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
40.61% ( 0.01) | 26.34% ( 0) | 33.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( -0) | 52.07% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( -0) | 73.8% ( 0) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( 0) | 25.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.99% ( 0.01) | 60.01% ( -0.01) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.01) | 29.68% ( 0.01) |
