SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
56.68% ( 1.1) | 22.08% ( -0.03) | 21.24% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% ( -1.24) | 42.09% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% ( -1.25) | 64.49% ( 1.25) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( -0.07) | 14.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.18% ( -0.13) | 42.82% ( 0.13) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -1.68) | 33.6% ( 1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.75% ( -1.88) | 70.24% ( 1.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.49)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.92% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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