SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
57.98% ( -0.16) | 22.43% ( 0.02) | 19.58% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( 0.14) | 45.89% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( 0.13) | 68.2% ( -0.13) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0) | 15.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.53% ( -0.01) | 44.46% ( 0.01) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( 0.24) | 37.44% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.78% ( 0.23) | 74.22% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.98% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.43% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 51 |
| 2 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 49 |
| 3 | Wrexham | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 48 |
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Notts County | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 39 |
| 8 | MK Dons | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 38 |
| 12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 36 |
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 34 |
| 16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 33 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 31 |
| 19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Salford City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 24 |
| 23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 18 |
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 18 |
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