SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
61.14% ( 0.61) | 20.75% ( 0.33) | 18.11% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( -2.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( -3.08) | 40.62% ( 3.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( -3.23) | 63% ( 3.23) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.78) | 12.83% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.83% ( -1.63) | 39.17% ( 1.63) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% ( -2.82) | 35.94% ( 2.82) |
