SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
50.42% ( 0.92) | 23.56% ( -0.16) | 26.02% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% ( 0.13) | 43.7% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% ( 0.12) | 66.09% ( -0.12) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( 0.4) | 17.42% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.14% ( 0.69) | 47.86% ( -0.69) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( -0.51) | 30.38% ( 0.51) |
