Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.24) 
