SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | MK Dons |
48.86% ( -0.2) | 24.39% ( 0.19) | 26.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( -0.8) | 46.8% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -0.75) | 69.06% ( 0.74) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( -0.4) | 19.21% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.09% ( -0.65) | 50.91% ( 0.65) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -0.41) | 31.46% ( 0.4) |
