SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
41.81% ( 1.55) | 25.76% ( -0.78) | 32.43% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( 2.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( 3.04) | 49.78% ( -3.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( 2.66) | 71.78% ( -2.66) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 2.17) | 23.62% ( -2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.3% ( 3.03) | 57.7% ( -3.03) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 1) | 28.95% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.17% ( 1.23) | 64.83% ( -1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.38)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.89)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 11 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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