SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
54.72% ( 0.11) | 24.29% ( -0.04) | 20.99% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( 0.08) | 51.75% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( 0.07) | 73.52% ( -0.07) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.07) | 18.81% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.75% ( 0.12) | 50.25% ( -0.12) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.67% ( -0.03) | 39.33% ( 0.03) |
