SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
45.8% ( 0.01) | 26.22% ( -0) | 27.98% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% ( 0.01) | 53.53% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( 0) | 75.04% ( -0) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( 0) | 23.32% ( -0) |
