SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Colchester United |
33.98% ( 0.01) | 25.81% | 40.2% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( 0) | 49.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( 0) | 71.66% ( -0) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( 0) | 27.89% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.5% ( 0.01) | 63.5% ( -0.01) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0) | 24.37% ( 0) |
