SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Swindon Town |
25.43% ( 0.01) | 24.1% ( 0.02) | 50.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( -0.09) | 46.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( -0.09) | 68.86% ( 0.09) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( -0.05) | 32.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.1% ( -0.05) | 68.9% ( 0.05) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( -0.05) | 18.49% ( 0.05) |
