SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Morecambe |
45.77% ( -0.02) | 28.02% ( 0) | 26.2% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.03% ( -0.01) | 60.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% ( -0.01) | 80.97% ( 0.01) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( -0.02) | 26.66% ( 0.02) |
