SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.88% ( 0.52) | 26.45% ( 0.2) | 34.66% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( -0.93) | 52.23% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( -0.81) | 73.93% ( 0.81) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( -0.15) | 26.26% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.63% ( -0.2) | 61.37% ( 0.2) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.89) | 28.72% ( 0.9) |
