SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
28.88% ( 0.12) | 25.29% ( -0.01) | 45.83% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( 0.11) | 49.28% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0.1) | 71.33% ( -0.1) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( 0.14) | 31.14% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.53% ( 0.17) | 67.47% ( -0.17) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( -0) | 21.51% ( -0) |
