SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
37.11% ( 0.02) | 24.88% ( 0) | 38% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.88% ( -0.01) | 45.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.53% ( -0.01) | 67.47% ( 0.01) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0.01) | 23.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.8% ( 0.01) | 58.19% ( -0.01) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( -0.02) | 23.48% ( 0.01) |
