SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Stevenage |
29.71% ( -0.14) | 26.4% ( 0.16) | 43.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( -0.7) | 53.39% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% ( -0.6) | 74.92% ( 0.6) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( -0.47) | 32.66% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.79% ( -0.53) | 69.21% ( 0.53) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.32) | 24.18% ( 0.32) |
