SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 44.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Northampton Town |
44.9% ( -0.01) | 28.13% | 26.96% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.06% ( 0) | 60.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.05% ( 0) | 80.94% ( -0) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0) | 27.09% ( -0) |
