SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
26.14% ( -0.01) | 26.19% ( -0) | 47.67% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% | 54.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% | 75.89% ( -0.01) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.01) | 36.09% ( 0) |
